MSNBC and just about everyone else today reported that the U.S. economy lost a whopping 80,000 jobs in March and unemployment shot up to 5.1%, the highest level it's been in recent memory. Even Ben Bernanke had to utter the "R Word".
We entered this week with a lot of people saying "It's a slowdown, stupid!" and claiming we'll see anemic, but not negative growth in the first quarter. We ended the week with all but confirmation that we are indeed in a recession now.
What's interesting, though, is how the market responded: the DJIA closed slightly off today at roughly 12,600 - up nearly 400 points for the week. What?
I think the recession (which, again, most of us don't fear, right?) was already priced in to the market, and here's the funny part: actually admitting it made the market go up. Now the market is more transparent - traders know what they're dealing with. It doesn't mean that the market is going to stay up, but it does mean that we're now past the denial stage and ready to accept our fate for the rest of the year.
It's like a 12-step program for economists.