« November 2006 | Main | January 2007 »

December 28, 2006

Middle East Peace

Wrapping up the two previous posts regarding Israel, Palastine, Zion, and Jimmy Carter, I think I need to pull this all together into one of those "Here's What I Would Do..." armchair quarterback posts.

So first I blasted Carter's position (according to his latest book) regarding his proposal that Israel give up  the fundamental foundation of it's existence.  All in a day's work. 

Then I gave some history of the region, which hopefully explains why Israel is where it is today, and what is likely to (and not to) happen to acheive peace.  Jimmy Carter can put his book away the next time he travels to the Middle East ... it ain't gonna happen.

What can happen is, (and this statement is possibly going to surprise you given my obvious staunch support for Israel), Israel must back off of some of it's demands:

  • West Bank.  It's untenable.  It can't be integrated as it's mapped today.  It's only slightly less impossible to defend than the Gaza Strip, only because it's moderately more affluent.
  • Golan Heights: If peace (and recognition of statehood) can be acheived with Syria, Israel should give it up.
  • Jerusalem: Yeah, you heard me right.  Jerusalem.  Israel claims the city is it's birthright.  Well, actually, it will be ... once the Messiah has come.  That hasn't happened yet, and Jerusalem has no other strategic advantage for the State of Israel.  A presence should be maintained there, of course - to ensure that the holy Jewish sites are not plundered or destroyed. 
  • Give up nuclear weapons.

None of this land is neccessary to ensure the safety of Jews worldwide.  There is plenty of land outside of these territories, and plenty of deterrents to attack besides a nuclear arsenal.  We learned our lesson in the '70's.  It's time for Israel to learn this lesson as well.

Now on to what Israel can't do.

  • Arab, or Palastinian, right of return.  Greater Israel may be a dream for world politicians, but as I've demonstrated in my last two posts, it defeats the original purpose of Israel.  Israel without Zion is just Palm Springs.
  • Allow attacks against it's homeland.  If New York City or Chicago were being attacked with the ferocity and regularity of Palastinian attacks on Israel, America would be a police state and would be launching attacks against "axis of terror" countries.   Israel must learn to temper her responses, but must be able to defend herself, on her terms.

Lastly, there are a few things that Palastine must do in order to get the land and recognition it wants:

  • Mandate that all political parties who participate in the Palastinian political process recognize the State of Israel and her right to exist.
  • Set a timeline for disarming it's non-government militias
  • Implement deterrents for participation in, giving aid to, or providing technical assistance to suicide bombers and other attackers

Those would be the main points of the Humphries-Dolnick Roadmap for Peace.   The likelihood of any of these proposals being fully accepted by either side is nearly nil, but there you have it.   Peace in our lifetime.

December 27, 2006

Zion vs. Palastine

Following my previous post about Zionism and Israel, it is important to point out that, while I clearly state that Zionism and a Jewish State of Israel go hand-in-hand, I am not overtly stating whether that is good or bad, at least from a world political perspective.  Clearly, the preservation of Judaism is advanced, or assisted, by the existence of a religious Jewish State of Israel. 

But is 1948 post WWII preservation politics applicable today?

First, one should note that not everyone within Judaism agrees in the validity of a Jewish State in Israel.  For one thing, it contradicts the Torah and the teachings that the Jewish State of Israel will be founded by the Messiah.  As such, a man-made state cannot truly be considered a Jewish State without either (A) believing that David Ben Gurion was the Messiah, or (B) dismissing the notion that the true State of Israel will be founded by the Messiah. 

So the notion of a truly Jewish state is not, by many accounts, possible today.  However, the world leaders who fought for establishment of Israel didn't have that in mind anyway.  The Socialist Zionists like Ben Gurion who founded Israel weren't looking to acheive anything that the Torah or Talmud predicted.  After all, pure Zionism and pure Socialism are, theoretically, diametrically apposite political views. 

So what about Palastine? 

In 1918 the Ottoman empire (read: modern-day Iraq) was dismantled, and in 1920 the League of Nations estblished the British Mandate of Palastine in the area now under disagreement, including modern day Israel.   The term "Palastine" then, however, did not imply an Arab or Muslim land ... in fact it envisioned a "Palastine" consisting of Arabs, Middle Eastern Muslims (including displaced Persians) as well as Jews living together in the land.  Middle Eastern and European Jews were migrating to the area to "set down their flag" - and were establishing state-like infrastructure there.  Nobody was talking, at least very loudly yet, about the establishment of a Jewish State in the Middle East. 

Most American and European Jews opposed Zionism, arguing that the West offered a safe homeland for Jews - the absorption of two million Jews in America during this time, for example, gave some fringe groups ammunition to argue that in fact America was Zion.  But all of this debate, and indeed even the settling of Palastine by Jews, was relatively small potatoes compared to what would happen next.

The rise of Adolf Hitler in Germany in 1933 dashed the idea of a Western European, or even American, Jewish homeland.  As Nazi Germany began producing a flood of Jewish refugees worldwide, more Jews began to move toward the concept of Zionism as a matter of self-preservation.  More Jews made Aliya (literally, "moved up") to Palastine, and the situation there grew worse as Arabs became uneasy with the loss of balance in the region.  The Arabs rioted, and the British Mandate began restricting Jewish immigration to the area.   The British Labour Party supported Jewish immigration.  In 1944 the British Labour Party issued a public declaration in support of a Jewish majority in Palestine, and in favor of the population transfer of Arabs out of Palestine. The statement said "Let the Arabs be encouraged to move out as the Jews move in ... The Arabs have many wide territories of their own."  While the British political elite may have supported the establishment of a Jewish state, the British rank-and-file civil servants did not, and pressed for troops to prevent Jewish immigration into the area as the Holocaust heated up.

This is a key point, and it is why denial of the Holocaust is so important to those who argue that Jewish Israel should be abolished or destroyed.  It is virtually impossible today to "destroy" Israel by force... there is simply too much support for Israel worldwide, if even only in the U.S.  So the only way that Anti-Israel groups feel they can achieve a true pre-1948 Palastinian state is to argue that the underlying reason for the establishment of the State of Israel - the Holocaust - did not happen.

The Jewish settlers within Palastine formed armies, and began openly fighting the British troops that were stationed in Palastine to prevent immigration.   This prepared the land for an eventual flood of Jewish refugees as WWII ended; displaced Jews who did not want to return home to lands that had been prisons and death camps for them and their families and felt betrayed by France, England, and even the US had a new place to go... and armies waiting to protect them.  

Sympathy grew for Jews as the depth and severity of the Holocaust became apparent.  Guilt over not having stopped Hitler sooner, or doing more to help Jews out of the death camps, led to a fairly significant swing of public opinion toward establishment of a Jewish state in Palastine.  The proposition that Jews could live in peace and security in non-Jewish societies was certainly a difficult one to defend in 1945.  Harry S. Truman was this cause's champion, and was able to push his agenda through the United Nations.   Britain at this point was desparate to pull out of Palastine, and the Soviet Union was looking to establish more influence there.  The establishment of a Socialist State of Israel was perfect for all the main world players.  Denying the Arabs, who had sided with Hitler during WWII, their "promised land" was an unfortunate side effect, but as the saying goes, "The Spoils of War..."

This is really a lot more than I wanted to write about this.   But we must remember the historical reasons for the muddle we're in today before we jump to insensitive or historcially ignorant conclusions, such as "Israel's subsidising of land for Jewish immigrants hurts the peace process..." as Jimmy Carter proposes.  I am also congnizant of the historical pain that Arabs feel, having been betrayed in the promise of a Palastinian homeland.  But almost since Day 1, Palastinians have been offered some form of autonomous homeland side-by-side with Israel - and until fairly recently, have rejected any offer that fell short of complete territorial control.  And since Day 1, Jews have had a safe haven (albeit, not as safe lately, due to regular attacks from Palastinians and Hezbollah)  in Israel, as was the intention of the United States, Britain, and the United Nations from the start.  Zion, meaning a safe haven for Jews, has always been the foundation of Israel.  Jimmy Carter should re-study his history before laying blame.

December 25, 2006

Carter on Israel

It's taken me a while to formulate my thoughts on President Carter's new book on the Middle East - "Peace Not Apartheid", wherein the former president compares modern-day Israel to Apartheid South Africa, and posits that peace in the Middle East can only come when Israel abandons this practice.  The practice is commonly known as "Zionism", which is a political movement that supports a homeland for the Jewish people in the land of Israel.  Indeed, Israel was founded as a Jewish homeland in 1948.

Anti-Zionism is a familiar refrain; a U.N. resolution (3379) at one time equated Zionism with Racism (that resolution was later revoked.) 

Zionism is not what was practiced in South Africa.  Zionism is the basis of the founding of Israel: to provide a safe homeland for oppressed Jews.  It is not possible to have a Jewish state without a Zionist state.  

But let's look at some of the other arguments that Carter overlooks:

  • Peace, by his definition, would consist of Israel and Palastine living side by side without fighting.  In other words, a Muslim state would peacefully co-exist with Israel.   Did you catch that?  In order to have peace, Israel must (says Carter) give up the notion of Zionism - a religious state that favors Jews - so that it's neighbor can establish a religious state that favors Muslims. 
  • Carter argues that the West Bank infrastructure - roads, schools, services, etc. - are far better for Jews than Muslims.  Let's think about that for a moment, shall we?  Israel occupies parts, but not all, of the West Bank.  The rest is Palastinian occupied.  Israel maintains it's part, and Palastine (in theory) maintains their part.  But the problem is, Palastine has not.  Under the Palastinian leadership for years and years, money intended to maintain infrastructure has gone into the private coffers of it's leaders.  Yet while Palastinian leaders profit from the money intended to improve roads and schools and infrastructure, they blame Israel for not maintaining these services. 
  • Carter argues that Israel subsidizes housing for Jews, but not for Palastinians, leaving Palastinians living in squalor.  Duh.  Again, the State of Israel was founded to protect and provide a homeland for Jews, not Palastinians.  In 1948, the Palastinians were offered a homeland that is roughly the size of the state they seek today.  Their response?  The refused, and then their supporting states attacked Israel.  Meanwhile, Israel takes in oppressed Jews from Ethiopia, Eastern Europe, the Balkans - wherever Jews are oppressed, Israel pulls them out (literally) and gives them a home.  I doubt the Ethiopians come to Israel rolling in Schekels.  I think it's fair that they're given a new home.  If the Palastinian leaders used their funding for houses and infrastructure rather than infighting and equipment of war, they too would have a homeland to be proud of. 
It's sad that a man who contributed so much to Israeli peace during his presidency has fallen back on the typical Palastinian line.  Perhaps he forgets the issues and facts that his staff surely briefed him on when he was in office. 

Mea Culpa Addendum

I didn't wrap up that last post exactly the way I wanted to. 

So picture this statement toward the end of my post below :)  :

The trick is not to simply accept that a Keynsian theory needs to be applied from time to time; it is to recognize that we need to minimize our use of Keynsian ("big government") exconomics, and limit it's use as a crutch.  It does, after all, in Milton Friedman's term, only affect the short-term pain of natural business cycles. 

December 23, 2006

Mea Culpa... Maybe

So my friend Ian and I sometimes debate Economics theory in our spare time.  It's a sort of quasi-political debate as my views are somewhat more conservative while Ian's views are somewhat more liberal.  That difference though doesn't entirely frame our debates, since we both tend to (A) have the abiity to consider and accept multiple variant views and (B) we're just having fun anyway.  I took and thoroughly enjoyed Econ in college, thought about switching majors (in fact, I took enough econ in my first two years that I technically *did* major in it).  Ian has a keen political sense, and is now taking econ classes.  So while my education is a bit out of date (1987), the basic underlying theories are still quite applicable today.

So the other day Ian has me on the phone talking about a project that we're working together on, and he starts talking econ.   My position is that Milton Friedman's "Laissez Faire" free market theory will win out over time; that is to say that minimal government interference in the marketplace will allow the markets to operate efficiently and at maximum "profit" possible.  His position is that sometimes governments must intervene in order to adjust for macro trends that can overwhelm the micro behavior of individuals. 

One might point to the depression-era programs of the US Government, where government spent large sums of money in order to provide work to a highly underemployed population.  But was that policy injecting employment and creating demand?  Or was it just another way to introduce more money into the economy?  No matter, in a way I agree that in short-term situations, having the government inject money (or jobs, or demand, or however you want to look at it) can help lessen the short-term pain of natural economic cycles. 

However those programs must be limited in scope and framed with planned end dates.  In the long term, government interference will only hurt the natural supply / demand curves in the economy, for several reasons:

  1. Long term Keynsian strategy requires a level of government control that encourages abuse and totalitarianism.
  2. John Maynard Keyes completely ignored monetary policy as a tool to affect the economy in more subtle ways
  3. Keynsian economics ignore natural business and economic cycles and expect abnormal behavior from market players over the long term
  4. Keynsian economics gives a blank check to government officials to spend inappropriately; no controls where ever thought through in his theories

An interesting side note to put this into perspective: Ronald Reagan was a fairly small government politician, and his government spending record stands at about 23.5% of GDP.  George Bush has earned a label as a big government politician, yet his government spending stands at a respectable 20% of GDP.  I'm not a big fan of Bush, but I was surprised by those figures.  In his defence, most of Reagan's spending was on cold war defense, which arguably yielded positive results for the United States.  Imagine what levels Bush would be at today without a failing Middle East war on his hands.

Anyway, as I like to say, food for thought, and I'm sure Ian and I will debate this yet further in the coming year!  :) 

December 22, 2006

Hanukkah Day 8

Sigh... last day.  We went out to dinner, special dinner night at Gulliver's.  Aaron ate two orders of chicken strips, Ethan had his usual chicken strips dinner, and Justin enjoyed a bowl of clam chowder (his new favorite).  Then we came home, lit candles, and opened the rest of the presents.  Next, we're all going to listen to Adam Sandler's Hanukkah Song :)

Pics here:http://gallery.famille.org/main.php?g2_view=core.ShowItem&g2_itemId=1145&g2_fromNavId=x9e9f6d9e

See you next year! 

December 21, 2006

Hanukkah Day 7

Pics here: http://gallery.famille.org/main.php?g2_view=core.ShowItem&g2_itemId=1125&g2_fromNavId=xb44bc9d8

Bubbie will particularly like the third picture, or: http://gallery.famille.org/main.php?g2_view=core.ShowItem&g2_itemId=1133 

Adam Sandler's Chanukah Song: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Chanukah_Song :)

December 20, 2006

Hanukkah Day 6

LATKES!  Tongue out

Lots of Latkes.  Marla's Latkes.  Excellent Latkes.  Tonight was Latke night!  I still have the taste of potato pancakes, apple sauce, sour cream, and of course jelly donuts in my mouth.   Marla's folks came over, we did a lot of singing and then of course presents were opened.  A good time was had by all.  

Find the pictures at:  http://gallery.famille.org/main.php?g2_view=core.ShowItem&g2_itemId=1102&g2_fromNavId=x629251af

 

There might even be pictures of Latkes there!  :) 

December 19, 2006

Hanukkah Day 5

Ah, much better.  Less hectic, more resting.  That's what vacations (and Hanukkah) are all about!  Wink

You'll notice that Justin in unwrapping a "Christmas" present here.  That's a gift from his daycare provider, Missy.  

I think that Justin is really starting to get into this stuff, singing along with us when we light candles and trying to say the blessings.  

So of course, you want the pics.  Here they are!  :  http://gallery.famille.org/main.php?g2_view=core.ShowItem&g2_itemId=1064&g2_fromNavId=xb025ca5b

December 18, 2006

R.I.P. Joe Barbera

Joe Barbera, co-creator of some of the longest lasting cartoon series ever, died Monday in California.  His longtime business partner, Bill Hanna died in 2001. 

Co-Creator of such classics as Scooby-Doo, The Flintstones, Tom and Jerry, and The Jetsons, Joe Barbera started out as a banker.  However his on-the-job doodling led to a stint first as a magazine writer and later as an animator. 

 
Except for the Flintstones, a cartoon that ran prime-time in the '60's, Hanna-Barbera didn't enjoy a great deal of success within the American network television hierarchy.  But as The Jetsons took off in syndication, Joe Barbera quickly learned that syndication was the way to go.  Scooby-doo continued in Syndication and on Cartoon Network, which purchased Hanna-Barbera through Turner Broadcasting.

Joe Barbera was the jokester of the Hanna-Barbera duo, and his slapstick comedy, simply for the sake of comedy, will be sorely missed today.  

Good bye, Joe Barbera. 

Hanukkah Day 4

Today reminds me just how crazy and hectic our lives are.  Day Four of Hanukkah was like the typical evening at the Humphries-Dolnick household:

  •  Pick up Aaron from school at 3:00
  • Aaron homework: 3:00 - 5:00 PM
  • Skating lessons: 5:00 - 7:00 PM
  • Dinner: 7:00 - 8:00 PM.  Pick up fast food, Marla lights candles as I'm serving up the food.
  • During dinner: Open presents
  • Eeyore to the Dog Park: 8:00 - 9:00 PM
  • Put the kids to bed: 9:15 PM

So today we had the kids open my Mom's presents to the kids.  Pictures at: http://gallery.famille.org/main.php?g2_view=core.ShowItem&g2_itemId=1053&g2_fromNavId=xb8259f01

December 17, 2006

Hanukkah Day 3

Well I finally got around to putting batteries into the floor keyboard that Aaron got on Day 2.  Aaron has a natural talent for music.  He inherits this from people other than me Tongue out.  He's not had a keyboard since he was a toddler, and he's upstairs now playing songs that he learned in Trombone lessons.  Never mind that I could never learn the trombone myself, being able to connect that music with a completely different instrument is beyond me. 

Now if we could just get him to work on his book report.  

Marla went shopping today because we counted up the gifts we had for the kids, and calculated running on on Monday or Tuesday.  So now Justin's playing with his new Home Depot put-together-a-wood-thing kit.  Another skill I'll never get, stemming from my inability to visualize, draw, or cut a strait line.  

I opened Mom's present to Marla and I, the popcorn factory tower of snacks.  Excellent, they have peanut patties this year!

So I know, you just want the pictures.  Go.  Enjoy.  See you tomorrow.  http://gallery.famille.org/main.php?g2_view=core.ShowItem&g2_itemId=1030 

December 16, 2006

More Ethan Skating

Here's a quickie... more pics of Ethan's skating lessons have been posted at:http://gallery.famille.org/main.php?g2_view=core.ShowItem&g2_itemId=903&g2_fromNavId=x827c83f4

Look at Page 2 forward... although it's pretty hard to tell these from previous weeks. 

Hanukkah Day 2

It's still too early for Hanukkah.  I don't know what I'm going to do when it falls just after Thanksgiving.  There's never enough time.  But, I'm off work, and spending time with the family.  And finally installing computer stuff that I've had sitting around the house in boxes for ages.  Yeah, that too. 

Today, it was "Pizza and a Movie Night" meets Hanukkah.  Lit candles, ate pizza, then after opening presents, we watched Over the Hedge.  Also played Dreidle.  Thanks to Diane for the great kids gifts, pictures are at: http://gallery.famille.org/main.php?g2_view=core.ShowItem&g2_itemId=974&g2_fromNavId=x1a20ddd6 

December 15, 2006

Hannukkah 2006 Day 1

It's kind of odd, working half a day then coming home from work early then starting Hannukkah.  We're just not really ready yet this year.  We still have shopping to do.  We still have cleaning to do.  But, Jewish tradition marches on and we lit candles like our ancestors have for thousands of years.

Mike got a great new leather office chair for his, ahem, office.  

Aaron, Ethan, and Justin all got books that they have been wanting.

Marla got a string of pearls.

Pictures can be found at: http://gallery.famille.org/main.php?g2_view=core.ShowItem&g2_itemId=959 

December 13, 2006

New Years 2007 Plans

Well I've been threatening this for years, and now I've gone through with it.  After years of watching the famous Chicago New Years fireworks at home, on TV and wishing I could see it live - but not really wanting to actually stand in a crowded, noisy, smelly bar or on Navy Pier in -20 degree weather, I have (drumroll please) made reservations at a Navy Pier viewable Hotel (Swisshotel in this case, naturally) to watch the fireworks from my Executive Suite with Panoramic views.  Although it might not seem like it, this is a very exciting thing for me (which tells you a little bit about yourself, if you're an avid reader of my blog). 

I don't know why you'd be interested in this insignificant morsel of my life.  I'm very excited.  Tongue out